Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead
The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 86.6% for Clinton, and 13.4% for Trump in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to gain 13.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 88.2% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.