Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 86.6% for Clinton, and 13.4% for Trump in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to gain 13.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 88.2% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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