DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they often include large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 64.4% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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