The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 35.4% of the two-party vote share in Utah, whereas Trump will win 64.6%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Results compared to other econometric models
Trump is currently at 0.0% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Utah. Compared to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 64.6 percentage points worse.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 64.8% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 0.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Utah. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 17.7 percentage points higher.