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Texas: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 42.5% for Clinton, and 57.5% for Trump in Texas.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they may include substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 55.8% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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