The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 47.9% of the two-party vote share in Tennessee, while Trump will end up with 52.2%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 52.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, because they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 7.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Tennessee.