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Tennessee: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 47.9% of the two-party vote share in Tennessee, while Trump will end up with 52.2%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 52.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, because they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 7.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Tennessee.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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