The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 43.0% for Clinton, and 57.0% for Trump in South Dakota. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with 57.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they may incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 60.4% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in South Dakota.