South Dakota: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 43.0% for Clinton, and 57.0% for Trump in South Dakota. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with 57.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they may incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 60.4% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in South Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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