The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 46.9% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will win 53.1%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in South Carolina.