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South Carolina: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 46.9% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will win 53.1%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in South Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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