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South Carolina: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 43.7% for Clinton, and 56.3% for Trump in South Carolina.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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