Oregon: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 56.1% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will end up with 43.9%.

Putting the results in context

Single models may contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Oregon. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Oregon.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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