Oregon: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 56.1% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will end up with 43.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Oregon. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Oregon.