The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 43.2% for Clinton, and 56.8% for Trump in Oklahoma. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 56.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 66.5% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 9.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.