North Dakota: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 44.5% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, while Trump will end up with 55.5%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 55.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 60.1% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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