The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 44.5% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, while Trump will end up with 55.5%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 55.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 60.1% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.