New York: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 62.6% of the two-party vote share in New York, while Trump will end up with 37.4%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, since they may include large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New York.