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New Mexico: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 52.2% for Clinton, and 47.8% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 47.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.7% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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