Nebraska: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 41.6% for Clinton, and 58.4% for Trump in Nebraska. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 58.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they often contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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