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Montana: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 41.9% of the two-party vote share in Montana, while Trump will win 58.1%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, because they can include large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Montana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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