Missouri: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 47.2% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will end up with 52.8%.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 53.6% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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