The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 47.2% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will end up with 52.8%.
Putting the results in context
Single models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 53.6% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.