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Michigan: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 55.8% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will end up with 44.2%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, because they often contain substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.3% of the two-party vote in Michigan. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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