The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 55.8% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will end up with 44.2%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they often contain substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.3% of the two-party vote in Michigan. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.