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Massachusetts: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 61.6% for Clinton, and 38.4% for Trump in Massachusetts. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 38.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Massachusetts.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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