Maryland: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 62.4% for Clinton, and 37.6% for Trump in Maryland.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 64.7% of the two-party vote in Maryland. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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