The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 32.3% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, whereas Trump will end up with 67.7%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to obtain 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of Wyoming econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 0.0%. This value is 67.7 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 69.5% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 20.8 percentage points higher.