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Jerome model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 32.4% for Clinton, and 67.6% for Trump in Wyoming. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with 67.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 69.3% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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