The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 32.4% for Clinton, and 67.6% for Trump in Wyoming. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with 67.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 69.3% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.