The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 55.3% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will end up with 44.7%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 44.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often contain substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.