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Jerome model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 55.3% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will end up with 44.7%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 44.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often contain substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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