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Jerome model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 54.3% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 45.7%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to obtain 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 64.4% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 10.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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