Jerome model in South Dakota: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 43.0% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, while Trump will win 57.0%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with 57.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.