Jerome model in Rhode Island: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 61.7% for Clinton, and 38.3% for Trump in Rhode Island. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Rhode Island econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 0.0%. In comparison to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 61.7 percentage points lower.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 60.5% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Rhode Island. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 8.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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