Jerome model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 43.1% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will win 56.9%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 64.3% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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