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Jerome model in North Dakota: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 44.3% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, whereas Trump will end up with 55.7%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win 55.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 60.9% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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