The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 57.6% for Clinton, and 42.4% for Trump in New Jersey. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 42.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can incorporate substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data. The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 57.6% of the two-party vote in New Jersey.