Jerome model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.3% for Clinton, and 53.7% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, as they can contain large biases. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 55.7% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 2.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Mississippi.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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