Jerome model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 61.9% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, whereas Trump will win 38.1%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 64.0% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Massachusetts.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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