Jerome model in Maryland: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 61.1% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, while Trump will end up with 39.0%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 39.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 64.7% of the two-party vote in Maryland. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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