Jerome model in Maine: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 55.1% for Clinton, and 44.9% for Trump in Maine. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they may include large biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.8% of the two-party vote in Maine. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Maine.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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