The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 46.7% for Clinton, and 53.3% for Trump in Louisiana. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 60.3% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 7.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Louisiana.