Jerome model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 47.8% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, while Trump will end up with 52.2%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 52.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they can contain large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 9.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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