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Jerome model in Indiana: Trump is in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 43.8% for Clinton, and 56.2% for Trump in Indiana. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they often include substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.1% of the two-party vote in Indiana. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Indiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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