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Jerome model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 47.6% for Clinton, and 52.4% for Trump in Georgia. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may incorporate substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 2.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Georgia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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