The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 48.0% for Clinton, and 52.1% for Trump in Georgia. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win 52.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote in Georgia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.