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Jerome model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.6% for Clinton, and 46.4% for Trump in Delaware. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win only 46.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 6.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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