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Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

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The Jérôme & Jérôme model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each win 50% of the two-party vote. In comparison, on October 10, Clinton was predicted to collect only 50.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 49.9% of the two-party vote. In comparison to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.3 percentage points better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

The Jérôme & Jérôme model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.1% and Trump 46.9% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 2.9 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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