Hit enter after type your search item

Iowa: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

/
/
/
166 Views

The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 54.3% for Clinton, and 45.7% for Trump in Iowa.

Historically, Iowa has been a purple state, in which neither the Democrats nor the Republicans have had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. Therefore, forecasts in this state are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 51.4% of the two-party vote in Iowa. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar