The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 54.3% for Clinton, and 45.7% for Trump in Iowa.
Historically, Iowa has been a purple state, in which neither the Democrats nor the Republicans have had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. Therefore, forecasts in this state are of particular value.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 51.4% of the two-party vote in Iowa. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.