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Iowa: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 50.4% of the two-party vote share in Iowa, while Trump will win 49.6%.

Historically, Iowa has been a purple state, in which neither the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party has had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. This is the reason why predictions in this state are of particular interest.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.4% of the two-party vote in Iowa.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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