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Illinois: New The Simon Poll/SIU*The Simon Poll/SIU* poll shows Clinton with 25 points lead

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Results of a new poll administered by The Simon Poll/SIUThe Simon Poll/SIU were released. The poll asked respondents from Illinois for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

The Simon Poll/SIUThe Simon Poll/SIU poll results
53

Clinton

28

Trump

The results show that 53.0% of respondents will cast a ballot for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 27 to October 2 with 865 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.3 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be interpreted with caution, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single polls, the best practice is to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

For the following analysis, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in values of 65.4% for Clinton and 34.6% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

Looking at an average of Illinois polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 59.2%. This value is 6.2 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the The Simon Poll/SIUThe Simon Poll/SIU poll. This difference is outside the poll's margin of error, which means that the poll is an outlier.

The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in Illinois. That is, the PollyVote forecast is 6.7 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore outside the poll's sampling error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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