Illinois: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 54.9% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will end up with 45.1%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 45.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in Illinois. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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