The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 58.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will win 41.9%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, because they often include substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 70.5% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 12.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.