The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 53.7% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will win 46.3%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.