DeSart & Holbrook model in Utah: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 36.6% of the two-party vote share in Utah, whereas Trump will win 63.5%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.