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DeSart & Holbrook model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 34.2% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, while Trump will win 65.8%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 64.3% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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