DeSart & Holbrook model in New Mexico: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 56.3% for Clinton, and 43.7% for Trump in New Mexico.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, since they often incorporate large biases. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.7% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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