DeSart & Holbrook model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 39.0% of the two-party vote share in Nebraska, whereas Trump will end up with 61.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may incorporate large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.