DeSart & Holbrook model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 43.0% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, while Trump will win 57.0%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.7% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Mississippi.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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